Geo-Strategy #11: The Second American Civil War

In his June 7, 2024 class, Jiang Xueqin explores how and why America would fight a second Civil War: Right now, America is suffering three trends that make civil war more and more likely: a.) Increasing political polarization driven by the culture wars and inequality. b.) Breakdown of the narratives that bind America, especially the American Dream and liberalism. c.) Growing distrust of America's national institutions, including the government, media, science, military, universities, and justice system. If Trump wins in November, we can expect riots and civil unrest. If Trump refuses to step down in 2028, we can expect a civil war to blow up.