The MATH of Pandemics | Intro to the SIR Model

How do organizations like the WHO and CDC do mathematical modelling to predict the growth of an epidemic? In this video we introduce the Susceptible- Infected-Recovered or SIR model. This is a simple system of differential equations that qualitatively behalves in a reasonable way. Studying this near the beginning gives a value called R_0 which governs the early growth rate which is exponential growth and is a standard metric in epidemilogy. Indeed real world data shows the current epidemic is well modeled by this kind of exponential growth. PART II here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f1a8JYAixXU 0:00 Assumptions of the SIR Model 3:10 Derivation of the SIR Model 6:44 Graphing the SIR Model 8:58 Finding R0 13:43 Real World Data BECOME A MEMBER: ►Join: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC9rTsvTxJnx1DNrDA3Rqa6A/join MATH BOOKS I LOVE (affilliate link): ► https://www.amazon.com/shop/treforbazett COURSE PLAYLISTS: ►DISCRETE MATH: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLHXZ9OQGMqxersk8fUxiUMSIx0DBqsKZS ►LINEAR ALGEBRA: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLHXZ9OQGMqxfUl0tcqPNTJsb7R6BqSLo6 ►CALCULUS I: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLHXZ9OQGMqxfT9RMcReZ4WcoVILP4k6-m ► CALCULUS II: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLHXZ9OQGMqxc4ySKTIW19TLrT91Ik9M4n ►MULTIVARIABLE CALCULUS (Calc III): https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLHXZ9OQGMqxc_CvEy7xBKRQr6I214QJcd ►VECTOR CALCULUS (Calc IV) https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLHXZ9OQGMqxfW0GMqeUE1bLKaYor6kbHa ►DIFFERENTIAL EQUATIONS: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLHXZ9OQGMqxde-SlgmWlCmNHroIWtujBw ►LAPLACE TRANSFORM: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLHXZ9OQGMqxcJXnLr08cyNaup4RDsbAl1 ►GAME THEORY: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLHXZ9OQGMqxdzD8KpTHz6_gsw9pPxRFlX OTHER PLAYLISTS: ► Learning Math Series https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LPH2lqis3D0&list=PLHXZ9OQGMqxfSkRtlL5KPq6JqMNTh_MBw ►Cool Math Series: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLHXZ9OQGMqxelE_9RzwJ-cqfUtaFBpiho SOCIALS: ►X/Twitter: http://X.com/treforbazett ►TikTok: http://tiktok.com/@drtrefor ►Instagram (photography based): http://instagram.com/treforphotography