The art of uncertainty: living with chance, ignorance, risk, and luck | LSE Event

Join us for this event in which David Spiegelhalter will talk about his latest book, The Art of Uncertainty How to Navigate Chance, Ignorance, Risk and Luck. Chance, luck, and ignorance; how to put our uncertainty into numbers. We all have to live with uncertainty about what is going to happen, what has happened, and why things turned out how they did. We attribute good and bad events as ‘due to chance’, label people as ‘lucky’, and (sometimes) admit our ignorance. David Spiegelhalter will show how to use the theory of probability to take apart all these ideas, and demonstrate how you can put numbers on your ignorance, and then measure how good those numbers are. Along the way we will look at three types of luck, and judge whether Derren Brown was lucky or unlucky when he was filmed flipping ten heads in a row. Following the event David will be signing copies of the book. Speakers: Professor Sir David Spiegelhalter Chair: Professor Tengyao Wang #Probability #Events #London Full details/attend: https://www.lse.ac.uk/Events/2025/01/202501221830/The-art-of-uncertainty-living-with-chance-ignorance-risk-and-luck To turn on captions, go to the bottom-right of the video player and click the icon. Please note that this feature uses Automatic Speech Recognition (ASR) technology, or machine generated transcription, and is not 100% accurate. Sign up for news about upcoming LSE Events: https://www.lse.ac.uk/Events/signup