Science Before Statistics: Causal Inference

3 hour workshop for 2021 Leipzig Spring School in Methods for the Study of Culture and the Mind. Outline, slides, and code at https://github.com/rmcelreath/causal_salad_2021 Chapters: 0:00 Introduction 21:40 Casual Salad 56:20 Causal Design 1:58:30 Table Two Fallacy 2:10:08 Bad Controls 2:17:16 Graph Analysis 2:27:50 Full Luxury Bayesian Inference 2:46:09 Summary and Conclusion