In this episode of "Two Quants and a Financial Planner," we explore key insights from our previous conversations with Larry Swedroe, one of investing's most evidence-based thinkers. Through a series of clips, we examine crucial investment principles including:
Why all investment decisions should be grounded in evidence rather than narratives or speculation
The challenge of market forecasting and why most predictions fail
How market valuations have become increasingly bifurcated
Understanding and surviving long periods of underperformance
The importance of considering your unique risks when building a portfolio
Why many investors are too conservative with illiquid investments
A data-driven perspective on the future of value investing
Whether you're a DIY investor or work with an advisor, this episode offers valuable lessons on building resilient portfolios based on academic evidence rather than market narratives.
00:00 Introduction
00:47 Show Opening
01:20 The Importance of Evidence-Based Investing
03:53 Economic Forecasting & Market Predictions
08:07 Information vs Value-Relevant Information
15:53 The Persistence of Abnormal Earnings Growth
21:22 Long Periods of Underperformance
30:27 Market Bifurcation & Valuations
36:56 Benefits of Multiple Return Streams
41:17 Understanding Your Unique Risks
47:42 First Principles & Illiquid Assets
55:30 The Value Premium & Academic Research
1:02:08 Closing & Contact Information